Volendam 1-2 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 20 Sep 2025

Volendam
1-2 HT 1-1
Excelsior
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Volendam vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
2.01/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.07
+56% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.7 Crosses 15.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Volendam vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Excelsior
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.59 xG 2.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
257 Passes 320
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2025 Volendam Volendam 1-4 HT 0-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
13.12.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 0-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
12.04.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 4-0 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
29.10.2023 Volendam Volendam 3-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
28.05.2023 Volendam Volendam 3-2 HT 3-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
20.01.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 2-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL

Volendam 1-2 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
1-2
AWAY Excelsior
1.47 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
310 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior edged past Volendam 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Volendam at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Volendam had 49% of the ball to Excelsior's 51%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.47 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Volendam and 2.17 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Excelsior?

Volendam 1-2 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Volendam 45%, draw 20%, Excelsior 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Volendam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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