AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
22%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.17/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.55
+57% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
29.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
21.04.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AS Elfen Saitama (K) and 0.67 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 18%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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