Envigado vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Envigado v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Envigado 0-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Envigado and Alianza Petrolera played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Envigado had 45% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 55%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.28 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Envigado and 1.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Envigado vs Alianza Petrolera?
Envigado 0-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Envigado vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Envigado 37%, draw 30%, Alianza Petrolera 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Envigado) went the other way.