Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cruz Azul v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cruz Azul 3-2 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul squeezed past FC Juarez 3-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in Cruz Azul's favour, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.42 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Cruz Azul against 0.50 for FC Juarez.
Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Result & Final Score
Cruz Azul 3 - 2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 66%, draw 20%, FC Juarez 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.