Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
2-2
HT 0-2
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 3-2 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul squeezed past FC Juarez 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 61% of the ball to FC Juarez's 39%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.42 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.50 for FC Juarez.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez?
Cruz Azul 3-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 61%, draw 21%, FC Juarez 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.