Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Puebla
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
2-2
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
Necaxa 1-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa edged past Puebla 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Necaxa had 46% of the ball to Puebla's 54%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.85 to 0.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Necaxa and 1.17 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Puebla?
Necaxa 1-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 52%, draw 24%, Puebla 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.