Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Necaxa v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Necaxa 1-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa found just enough to beat Puebla 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Necaxa had 46% of the ball to Puebla's 54%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.85 to 0.87.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Necaxa and 1.17 for Puebla.
Necaxa vs Puebla Result & Final Score
Necaxa 1 - 0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 55%, draw 25%, Puebla 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.