Mazatlan 1-1 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 20 Sep 2025

Mazatlan
1-1 HT 0-0
Atlas
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Mazatlan vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.35/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.34
+10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 81%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
15.8 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Mazatlan vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atlas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 2.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-2 HT 2-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
19.10.2024 Atlas Atlas 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
10.02.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
30.12.2023 Atlas Atlas 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan HAZ
21.10.2023 Atlas Atlas 1-3 HT 1-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
13.01.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK

Mazatlan 1-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
1-1
AWAY Atlas
1.64 xG 2.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
227 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Atlas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mazatlan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mazatlan had 44% of the ball to Atlas's 56%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.64 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mazatlan and 1.00 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Atlas?

Mazatlan 1-1 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 44%, draw 24%, Atlas 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mazatlan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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