Belenenses 2-0 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Sep 2025

Belenenses
2-0 HT 1-0
Maritimo
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Belenenses vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belenenses v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belenenses EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 51%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+147% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Belenenses vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belenenses
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Maritimo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.01 xG 1.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 334
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.01.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 1-1 Belenenses Belenenses POR
16.08.2021 Belenenses Belenenses 1-2 HT 1-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR
17.04.2021 Belenenses Belenenses 2-0 HT 1-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
19.12.2020 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 0-0 Belenenses Belenenses POR
22.02.2020 Belenenses Belenenses 1-0 HT 1-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
15.09.2019 Maritimo Maritimo 1-3 HT 0-2 Belenenses Belenenses POR

Belenenses 2-0 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belenenses
2-0
AWAY Maritimo
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Belenenses vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belenenses beat Maritimo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Belenenses found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Belenenses had 45% of the ball to Maritimo's 55%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belenenses had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Belenenses and 0.83 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Belenenses vs Maritimo?

Belenenses 2-0 Maritimo in the Portugal - Cup on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belenenses vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Belenenses 37%, draw 23%, Maritimo 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POK More Portugal - Cup
20 Sep 2025
16:00 Sintrense vs Vizela Analysis →
17:00 Sanjoanense vs Felgueiras 1932 Analysis →
17:00 FC Castrense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Analysis →
17:00 Ovarense vs Sporting Covilha Analysis →
18:00 Vidago vs Farense Analysis →
18:00 Vitoria De Sernache vs Portimonense Analysis →