Sanjoanense 0-4 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 3-0 HT 3-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
03.09.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-3 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
17.12.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-2 HT 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
0-4
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 swept aside Sanjoanense 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 55% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 45%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Felgueiras 1932 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sanjoanense and 2.67 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Felgueiras 1932?

Sanjoanense 0-4 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - Cup on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 23%, draw 27%, Felgueiras 1932 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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