FC Castrense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Castrense v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
FC Castrense 0-5 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa cruised past FC Castrense 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.
On the day, FC Castrense had 32% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 68%, shots finished 4-26.
What was the final score of FC Castrense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
FC Castrense 0-5 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - Cup on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Castrense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split FC Castrense 19%, draw 12%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 69%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.