Vidago 0-2 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
16.01
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
72%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.53
No
51%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
3%
+7.5pp
17%
Draw
12%
+4.5pp
73%
Away Win
84%
-11.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.0pp
51%
BTTS No
64%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vidago EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -48%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
201 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 503 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vidago
0-2
AWAY Farense
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vidago vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense beat Vidago 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Farense as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vidago had 42% of the ball to Farense's 58%, shots finished 5-27.

What was the final score of Vidago vs Farense?

Vidago 0-2 Farense in the Portugal - Cup on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vidago vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Vidago 11%, draw 17%, Farense 73%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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