Caldas 3-0 Fatima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatima EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
3-0
AWAY Fatima
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Fatima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas cruised past Fatima 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Caldas had 51% of the ball to Fatima's 49%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Fatima?

Caldas 3-0 Fatima in the Portugal - Cup on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Fatima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Caldas 56%, draw 21%, Fatima 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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