Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2026

📅20/09/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.58
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2026 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
13.02.2026 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 2-2 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
22.08.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
28.03.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
06.10.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
18.11.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BULK
PREVIEW Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model can't split Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.

Spartak Varna's home league games have stayed low-scoring — only 1 of the last 5 cleared 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Spartak Varna against 1.00 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Kick-off Time

Spartak Varna play Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/09/2026, kick-off 15:15 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is an Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win at about 38% probability, priced 2.47 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Spartak Varna 34%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 38%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
20 Sep 2026
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