Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Spartak Varna
BULK
Spartak Varna 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Varna swept aside Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Varna as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 51% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 49%, shots finished 17-15.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.20 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
Spartak Varna 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 46%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.