Botev Vratsa 3-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +19%
0.95/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.93
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
12.09.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
25.02.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BULK
04.12.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 5-1 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
05.08.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-2 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
25.05.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
3-0
AWAY PFC Beroe
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa cruised past PFC Beroe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 41% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 59%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.50 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe?

Botev Vratsa 3-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 41%, draw 30%, PFC Beroe 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
22 May 2026
18:00 Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Analysis →