Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Sep 2026

📅20/09/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.74
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
20%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
27.10.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-3 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
11.05.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
04.05.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
21.03.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 1-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
06.10.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
PREVIEW Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Monarcas Morelia clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.

Leones Negros Udeg arrive on a real away run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.83 for Leones Negros Udeg.

Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg Kick-off Time

Monarcas Morelia play Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/09/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg is a Monarcas Morelia win at about 55% probability, priced 1.74 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Monarcas Morelia 55%, draw 25%, Leones Negros Udeg 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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