IFK Kumla 1-3 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
25%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+6.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
37%
-11.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.7pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.11/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.54
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Motala AIF FK
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
06.06.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 5-5 HT 2-2 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK beat IFK Kumla 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Kumla at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Motala AIF FK?

IFK Kumla 1-3 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 47%, draw 28%, Motala AIF FK 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Kumla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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