Herrestads 2-0 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.00/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.66
+5% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 4-1 HT 2-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
21.10.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 2-1 HT 2-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
09.06.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 0-2 HT 0-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 2-2 HT 1-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Herrestads
2-0
AWAY Stenungsund
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads got the better of Stenungsund 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Herrestads had 44% of the ball to Stenungsund's 56%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Herrestads had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Herrestads and 1.75 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Stenungsund?

Herrestads 2-0 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 45%, draw 27%, Stenungsund 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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