Lidköpings FK 3-0 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +25%
1.39/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.39
-35% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lidköpings FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
06.08.2023 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
02.04.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
06.08.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
15.04.2022 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
31.10.2021 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Lidköpings FK vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lidköpings FK swept aside Vanersborgs FK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lidköpings FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lidköpings FK and 1.17 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of Lidköpings FK vs Vanersborgs FK?

Lidköpings FK 3-0 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lidköpings FK vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lidköpings FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lidköpings FK 46%, draw 26%, Vanersborgs FK 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lidköpings FK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lidköpings FK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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