Säffle SK 2-1 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
34%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
23%
+13.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.4pp
34%
Away Win
55%
-20.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Säffle SK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.15/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.06/1.84
-21% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Säffle SK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.06.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
17.09.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-1 HT 1-1 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Säffle SK vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Säffle SK squeezed past Ahlafors IF 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Säffle SK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Säffle SK and 1.50 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Säffle SK vs Ahlafors IF?

Säffle SK 2-1 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Säffle SK vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Säffle SK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Säffle SK 36%, draw 29%, Ahlafors IF 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Säffle SK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Säffle SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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