Vanersborgs IF 1-0 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.56
No
33%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
60%
+6.7pp
33%
BTTS No
40%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 24%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.00/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.05
-56% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
456 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY BK Forward
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.06.2024 BK Forward BK Forward 3-2 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1-0
AWAY BK Forward
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF nicked a narrow win over BK Forward 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vanersborgs IF as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vanersborgs IF had 41% of the ball to BK Forward's 59%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs BK Forward?

Vanersborgs IF 1-0 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 50%, draw 23%, BK Forward 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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