Atlético Paso 2-3 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
69%
1.36
Over
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
43%
4-5
14%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.2pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda The Market 39%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.20/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.00
+13% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
2-3
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda nicked a narrow win over Atlético Paso 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Rayo Majadahonda made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 58% of the ball to Rayo Majadahonda's 42%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Atlético Paso 2-3 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 32%, draw 33%, Rayo Majadahonda 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Barbastro vs Teruel Analysis →
00:00 Cacereno vs SS Reyes Analysis →
00:00 UD Logrones vs Eibar II Analysis →
00:00 Don Benito vs Granada II Analysis →
00:00 Terrassa vs Torrent Analysis →
00:00 Alfaro vs SD Logrones Analysis →