Real Avila 3-2 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +18%
0.34/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.07
-74% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila edged past Coruxo 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Avila as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Coruxo?

Real Avila 3-2 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 46%, draw 28%, Coruxo 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Avila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Avila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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