Sabadell 3-2 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabadell
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Baleares
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2023 Sabadell Sabadell 3-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
15.01.2023 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
06.02.2022 Sabadell Sabadell 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
24.10.2021 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 3-1 HT 2-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
3-2
AWAY Atletico Baleares
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell edged past Atletico Baleares 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sabadell as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sabadell had 57% of the ball to Atletico Baleares's 43%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sabadell had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sabadell and 1.00 for Atletico Baleares.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs Atletico Baleares?

Sabadell 3-2 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 42%, draw 30%, Atletico Baleares 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabadell) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabadell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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