Salamanca 1-1 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.51
Over
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia The Market 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
0.35/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.00
-64% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salamanca
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Numancia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3 Corners 6
06.09.2023 Salamanca Salamanca 2-2 HT 1-1 Numancia Numancia İSPFK
04.06.2011 Salamanca Salamanca 2-2 HT 1-0 Numancia Numancia İS2
23.01.2011 Numancia Numancia 3-2 HT 1-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS2
28.03.2010 Salamanca Salamanca 1-3 HT 0-3 Numancia Numancia İS2
25.10.2009 Numancia Numancia 1-1 HT 0-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS2
11.05.2008 Salamanca Salamanca 0-1 HT 0-1 Numancia Numancia İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
1-1
AWAY Numancia
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca and Numancia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salamanca had 50% of the ball to Numancia's 50%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Numancia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salamanca and 2.00 for Numancia.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs Numancia?

Salamanca 1-1 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 32%, draw 26%, Numancia 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Numancia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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