UCAM Murcia vs Villanovense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UCAM Murcia v Villanovense — Team-Based Signals
UCAM Murcia 1-1 Villanovense — Actual Match Statistics
UCAM Murcia and Villanovense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UCAM Murcia at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, UCAM Murcia had 62% of the ball to Villanovense's 38%, shots finished 17-8.
What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Villanovense?
UCAM Murcia 1-1 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Villanovense?
Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 58%, draw 25%, Villanovense 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.