UD Alzira 1-0 Cornella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.56
Over
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
38%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Alzira The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cornella The Market 36%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.26/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
273 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Alzira
1-0
AWAY Cornella
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Alzira vs Cornella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Alzira squeezed past Cornella 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; UD Alzira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UD Alzira had 46% of the ball to Cornella's 54%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of UD Alzira vs Cornella?

UD Alzira 1-0 Cornella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Alzira vs Cornella?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Alzira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UD Alzira 38%, draw 29%, Cornella 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Alzira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Alzira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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