Zaragoza II 2-3 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.75
Over
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra The Market 39%
+25% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.60/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.68
+43% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +54%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Calahorra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
2-3
AWAY CD Calahorra
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Calahorra squeezed past Zaragoza II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; CD Calahorra found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 59% of the ball to CD Calahorra's 41%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs CD Calahorra?

Zaragoza II 2-3 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 38%, draw 26%, CD Calahorra 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zaragoza II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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