Crotone 2-1 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.86
Over
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.25
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.62
6+
9%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+10.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto The Market 16%
-11% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.74
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Taranto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2024 Crotone Crotone 2-2 HT 1-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
15.10.2023 Taranto Taranto 2-1 HT 2-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
02.04.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
30.11.2022 Taranto Taranto 2-2 HT 2-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-1
AWAY Taranto
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone edged past Taranto 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 64% of the ball to Taranto's 36%, shots finished 20-2.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crotone and 1.50 for Taranto.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Taranto?

Crotone 2-1 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Crotone 50%, draw 27%, Taranto 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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