Gubbio vs Pontedera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gubbio v Pontedera — Team-Based Signals
Gubbio vs Pontedera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Gubbio
İTC
1-1
HT 0-1
Pontedera
İTC
1-1
HT 1-1
Gubbio
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Pontedera
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Gubbio
İTC
Gubbio 0-1 Pontedera — Actual Match Statistics
Pontedera nicked a narrow win over Gubbio 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Gubbio at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Gubbio had 60% of the ball to Pontedera's 40%, shots finished 16-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gubbio and 0.67 for Pontedera.
What was the final score of Gubbio vs Pontedera?
Gubbio 0-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Pontedera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 47%, draw 32%, Pontedera 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gubbio) went the other way.