Gubbio 0-0 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.68
Over
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.76
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
17%
4.23
6+
9%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera The Market 28%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
0.92/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.02
-38% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.12.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 2-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
14.05.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
23.04.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 1-1 HT 1-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
17.12.2022 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
16.02.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 0-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
09.10.2021 Gubbio Gubbio 3-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
0-0
AWAY Pontedera
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio and Pontedera played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gubbio at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gubbio had 59% of the ball to Pontedera's 41%, shots finished 27-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gubbio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gubbio and 0.67 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Pontedera?

Gubbio 0-0 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 47%, draw 28%, Pontedera 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gubbio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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