Houston Dynamo 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

Houston Dynamo
2-1 HT 1-0
Los Angeles Galaxy
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.5
2-3 Goals
39%
2.13
4-5 Goals
25%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.72
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
14%
5.31
X/2
11%
7.23
X/X
9%
6.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.9
2/2
20%
4.16
2/X
9%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.1pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Houston Dynamo v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.61/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.59
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.8 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
364 Passes 526
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
03.09.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
09.04.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
10.10.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-3 HT 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
23.05.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-3 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.10.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD

Houston Dynamo 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
2-1
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.92 xG 2.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
458 Passes 428
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
26 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo squeezed past Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Houston Dynamo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 53% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 47%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.92 to 2.37 — on chances, Los Angeles Galaxy could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.33 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Houston Dynamo 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 39%, draw 24%, Los Angeles Galaxy 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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