Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
19%
4.4
X/2
8%
9.78
X/X
7%
5.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.75
2/2
14%
6.54
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.75 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +6%
1.98/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.67
+1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.9 Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.31
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
541 Passes 328
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
09.04.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
10.10.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-3 HT 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
23.05.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-3 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.10.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
16.09.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.13 xG 1.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
450 Passes 479
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
31 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy nicked a narrow win over Houston Dynamo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 49% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.13 to 1.91 — on chances, Houston Dynamo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.33 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo?

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 52%, draw 21%, Houston Dynamo 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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