Deportivo Alaves 0-0 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.06
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.79
X/2
12%
7.04
X/X
8%
3.92
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.57
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.44/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.36
-17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
24.7 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Valencia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 1.01
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
219 Passes 374
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
22.12.2024 Valencia Valencia 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
24.07.2024 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
05.05.2024 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
02.09.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
29.07.2023 Valencia Valencia 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0-0
AWAY Valencia
0.74 xG 0.44
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
430 Passes 216
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves and Valencia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 63% of the ball to Valencia's 37%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.74 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.67 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia?

Deportivo Alaves 0-0 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 44%, draw 26%, Valencia 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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