Malacateco 0-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.82/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.21
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
23.03.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.02.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 5-2 HT 4-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
08.09.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.04.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
29.10.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
0-1
AWAY Guastatoya
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya nicked a narrow win over Malacateco 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Malacateco carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Malacateco had 70% of the ball to Guastatoya's 30%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malacateco and 1.33 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Guastatoya?

Malacateco 0-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 59%, draw 19%, Guastatoya 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Over 2.5
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20 Oct 2025
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