Haguenau 4-1 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
7%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
18%
Draw
26%
-7.5pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haguenau EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 30.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haguenau
4-1
AWAY Boulogne
2.78 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
334 Passes 425
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haguenau vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haguenau ran out comfortable winners over Boulogne 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Boulogne at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Haguenau had 46% of the ball to Boulogne's 54%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.78 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Haguenau vs Boulogne?

Haguenau 4-1 Boulogne in the France - Cup on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haguenau vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Haguenau 32%, draw 18%, Boulogne 50%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Boulogne), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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