Troyes 3-0 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Dec 2024

Troyes
3-0 HT 1-0
Metz
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Troyes vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.89
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
8%
5.54
X/2
14%
5.48
X/X
12%
4.32
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
22%
3.83
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Troyes v Metz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.25/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.55
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
– Crosses 20.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Troyes vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Metz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
279 Passes 513
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR2
22.07.2023 Troyes Troyes 0-3 Metz Metz HAZ
06.02.2022 Troyes Troyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
12.09.2021 Metz Metz 0-2 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
01.02.2019 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
24.08.2018 Troyes Troyes 0-1 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FR2

Troyes 3-0 Metz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
3-0
AWAY Metz
2.17 xG 1.40
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
194 Passes 551
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes cruised past Metz 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Metz at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Troyes had 29% of the ball to Metz's 71%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.17 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Troyes and 1.00 for Metz.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Metz?

Troyes 3-0 Metz in the France - Cup on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Troyes 31%, draw 27%, Metz 42%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✗ Under 2.5
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