Rouen 0-1 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Dec 2024

Rouen
0-1 HT 0-1
Lille
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Rouen vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
59%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.0pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.2pp
59%
Away Win
77%
-17.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rouen v Lille — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 81%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.24/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.28
+150% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +99%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
129 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 68%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
8.5 Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Rouen 0-1 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
0-1
AWAY Lille
0.44 xG 2.66
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
194 Passes 662
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 45
15 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille nicked a narrow win over Rouen 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rouen had 28% of the ball to Lille's 72%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.44 to 2.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lille's control.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Lille?

Rouen 0-1 Lille in the France - Cup on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Rouen 17%, draw 24%, Lille 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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