Derby County vs Portsmouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derby County v Portsmouth — Team-Based Signals
Derby County vs Portsmouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derby County 1-1 Portsmouth — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Derby County and Portsmouth with a point apiece.
Our pre-match lean was Derby County at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Derby County's favour, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.79 to 0.15.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Derby County against 1.00 for Portsmouth.
Derby County vs Portsmouth Result & Final Score
Derby County 1 - 1 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derby County vs Portsmouth Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Derby County 47%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Derby County), BTTS No went the other way.