Sambenedettese 0-2 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sambenedettese EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
0.97/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.15
-27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sambenedettese
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.08.2025 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 2-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTCK
14.03.2021 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-3 HT 1-3 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese İTC
14.11.2020 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 2-0 HT 2-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
18.01.2020 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 0-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
08.09.2019 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 1-1 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sambenedettese
0-2
AWAY Vis Pesaro
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sambenedettese vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro beat Sambenedettese 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sambenedettese at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sambenedettese had 50% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 50%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sambenedettese had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Sambenedettese and 0.80 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Sambenedettese vs Vis Pesaro?

Sambenedettese 0-2 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sambenedettese vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sambenedettese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sambenedettese 43%, draw 31%, Vis Pesaro 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sambenedettese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sambenedettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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