Perth Glory 0-1 Adelaide United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 20 Dec 2025

Perth Glory
0-1 HT 0-1
Adelaide United
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Perth Glory vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.81
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
6.07
X/2
17%
5.78
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.53
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 14% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.43/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.67
-6% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
20.0 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Perth Glory vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.61 xG 2.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
285 Passes 451
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 35
21 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Perth Glory Perth Glory 4-1 HT 2-1 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
29.11.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 2-2 HT 0-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
07.04.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-4 HT 2-3 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
09.02.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 3-3 HT 2-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
23.04.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 4-4 HT 1-1 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
02.01.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 2-0 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS

Perth Glory 0-1 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
0-1
AWAY Adelaide United
1.15 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
378 Passes 334
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
40 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Adelaide United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Adelaide United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory had 54% of the ball to Adelaide United's 46%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.15 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Perth Glory and 2.67 for Adelaide United.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?

Perth Glory 0-1 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 36%, draw 24%, Adelaide United 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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