21/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Akragas vs Ragusa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
46%
33%
Draw
28%
30%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Akragas v Ragusa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Akragas
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ragusa
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
340 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Akragas vs Ragusa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Akragas
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Ragusa
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Akragas vs Ragusa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ragusa got the better of Akragas 2-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Ragusa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Akragas vs Ragusa?
Akragas 0-2 Ragusa in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Akragas vs Ragusa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Akragas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Akragas 37%, draw 33%, Ragusa 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Akragas), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Akragas)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
21 Jan 2024