Campobasso 1-1 Atletico Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ascoli The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
1-1
AWAY Atletico Ascoli
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Atletico Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso and Atletico Ascoli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Campobasso had 47% of the ball to Atletico Ascoli's 53%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Atletico Ascoli?

Campobasso 1-1 Atletico Ascoli in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Atletico Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 41%, draw 22%, Atletico Ascoli 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Campobasso), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Campobasso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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