Chisola 1-0 PDHAE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
52%
4-5
12%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chisola The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY PDHAE The Market 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chisola
1-0
AWAY PDHAE
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Chisola vs PDHAE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chisola squeezed past PDHAE 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chisola as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chisola had 58% of the ball to PDHAE's 42%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Chisola vs PDHAE?

Chisola 1-0 PDHAE in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chisola vs PDHAE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chisola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chisola 45%, draw 26%, PDHAE 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chisola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chisola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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