Fidelis Andria vs Casarano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fidelis Andria v Casarano — Team-Based Signals
Fidelis Andria 3-1 Casarano — Actual Match Statistics
Fidelis Andria saw off Casarano 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fidelis Andria as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Fidelis Andria had 57% of the ball to Casarano's 43%, shots finished 14-15.
What was the final score of Fidelis Andria vs Casarano?
Fidelis Andria 3-1 Casarano in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fidelis Andria vs Casarano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fidelis Andria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fidelis Andria 43%, draw 23%, Casarano 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fidelis Andria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.