21/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Prato vs Mezzolara Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
32%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
57%
27%
Draw
21%
31%
Away Win
22%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Prato v Mezzolara — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Prato
The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mezzolara
The Market 25%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
4
411 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
211 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Prato vs Mezzolara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Prato and Mezzolara played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Prato at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Prato vs Mezzolara?
Prato 0-0 Mezzolara in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Prato vs Mezzolara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Prato win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Prato 42%, draw 27%, Mezzolara 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Prato) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Prato)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
21 Jan 2024