San Paolo Padova vs US Adriese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Paolo Padova v US Adriese — Team-Based Signals
San Paolo Padova 3-2 US Adriese — Actual Match Statistics
San Paolo Padova edged past US Adriese 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day San Paolo Padova made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Paolo Padova had 49% of the ball to US Adriese's 51%, shots finished 11-15.
What was the final score of San Paolo Padova vs US Adriese?
San Paolo Padova 3-2 US Adriese in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Paolo Padova vs US Adriese?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Paolo Padova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Paolo Padova 40%, draw 22%, US Adriese 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Paolo Padova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.