21/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Seravezza vs Grosseto Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
43%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
49%
25%
Draw
27%
31%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Seravezza v Grosseto — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Seravezza
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Grosseto
The Market 28%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+40% /
+40%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
+142%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
410 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Seravezza vs Grosseto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Grosseto squeezed past Seravezza 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Seravezza at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Seravezza vs Grosseto?
Seravezza 0-1 Grosseto in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Seravezza vs Grosseto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Seravezza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Seravezza 44%, draw 25%, Grosseto 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Seravezza) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Seravezza)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
21 Jan 2024