Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sturm Graz
AVL
2-2
HT 1-2
Atalanta
AVL
Atalanta 5-0 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta cruised past Sturm Graz 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Atalanta had 61% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 39%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 5.34 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atalanta and 1.00 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Sturm Graz?
Atalanta 5-0 Sturm Graz in the Champions League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 56%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.