Liverpool vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Lille
AVL
1-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
AVL
Liverpool 2-1 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool squeezed past Lille 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liverpool had 56% of the ball to Lille's 44%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 2.46 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liverpool's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool and 0.50 for Lille.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Lille?
Liverpool 2-1 Lille in the Champions League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Lille?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 57%, draw 23%, Lille 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.