Monaco vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Monaco 1-0 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco nicked a narrow win over Aston Villa 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Monaco made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monaco had 39% of the ball to Aston Villa's 61%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.95.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Aston Villa?
Monaco 1-0 Aston Villa in the Champions League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monaco 34%, draw 28%, Aston Villa 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.